Inter

AC Milan

SERIE A · DEMO FIXTURE · 20 SEP 2026 · 18:45 UTC
San Siro · Illustrative venue assignment

DEMO DATAAll fixtures, ratings and forecasts shown are illustrative. No live feed or verified prediction record is connected.Data provenance

Match Outcome Probability

NQ ENSEMBLE

INT46.5%

DRAW28.2%

MIL25.3%

PREDICTED xG · INT1.71

PREDICTED xG · MIL1.22

DEMO CONFIDENCE69 /100

Confidence is an illustrative index, not a calibrated measure of reliability. Full-time outcomes cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Model Consensus

ILLUSTRATIVE

Illustrative model outcome probabilities
MODEL	INT	DRAW	MIL
Elo	44.5%	29.2%	26.3%
Poisson	48.5%	27.2%	24.3%
xG	47.5%	28.2%	24.3%
Recent Form	45.5%	28.2%	26.3%
NQ EnsembleNQ	46.5%	28.2%	25.3%

Model rows are illustrative fixtures, not outputs of trained models.

✳ NQ Intelligence

TEMPLATE EXPLANATION

Inter is the most likely individual outcome in this example at 46.5%. The combined probability of a draw or AC Milan win is 53.5%. A favorite still faces a meaningful chance of a different result.

The illustrative scoring rates are 1.71 for INT and 1.22 for MIL. The independent Poisson illustration below makes 1–1 the most likely exact score among the displayed cells, at 11.1%. This is a separate model view; it is not the source of the example ensemble probabilities.

Models calculate. AI explains. This v0.1 explanation is a deterministic template using structured demo inputs. No AI provider has been called, and no verified tactical, injury or lineup context is available.

Score Probability Matrix

POISSON DEMO

Rows: INT goals · Columns: MIL goals

INT / MIL012345

5.3%

6.5%

4.0%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

9.1%

11.1%

6.8%

2.8%

0.8%

0.2%

7.8%

9.5%

5.8%

2.4%

0.7%

0.2%

4.4%

5.4%

3.3%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

1.9%

2.3%

1.4%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

0.7%

0.8%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Independent Poisson goal counts using demo rates. Scores with either team above five goals account for the remaining 0.98%. Cells are not renormalized.

Most Likely Scorelines

EXACT SCORE

1–1

11.1%

2–1

9.5%

1–0

9.1%

2–0

7.8%

1–2

6.8%

Even the highest-probability exact score remains a low-probability event. These values describe possibilities, not a promised result.

Understand expected goals

Key Match Factors

DATA AVAILABILITY

Recent form

Illustrative

Five synthetic results; illustrative only.

Attack & defence

Illustrative

Example scoring rates inform the Poisson illustration.

Home advantage

Illustrative

Home venue is represented in the example forecast.

Squad availability

Unavailable

No verified lineup or injury feed connected.

Rest & scheduling

Unavailable

No verified rest-day or congestion data connected.

Fixture difficulty

Planned

Opponent-adjusted features are planned.

Prediction History

2 DEMO SNAPSHOTS

Illustrative immutable prediction snapshots
GENERATED (UTC)	MODEL VERSION	HOME	DRAW	AWAY	INPUT VERSION
2026-09-19 09:00	demo-0.1	45.3%	28.6%	26.1%	demo-2026-09-v1
2026-09-20 09:00	demo-0.1	46.5%	28.2%	25.3%	demo-2026-09-v1

Every future forecast is stored as a new snapshot. These two records demonstrate the audit format and are not historical real-world forecasts.

Read assumptions and limitations

MODEL

INT

DRAW

MIL

Elo

44.5%

29.2%

26.3%

Poisson

48.5%

27.2%

24.3%

47.5%

28.2%

24.3%

Recent Form

45.5%

28.2%

26.3%

NQ EnsembleNQ

46.5%

28.2%

25.3%

GENERATED (UTC)

MODEL VERSION

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

INPUT VERSION

2026-09-19 09:00

demo-0.1

45.3%

28.6%

26.1%

demo-2026-09-v1

2026-09-20 09:00

demo-0.1

46.5%

28.2%

25.3%

demo-2026-09-v1